Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 1273.012473 1449.165158 1645.633053 1881.867585 2159.341846 2476.280729 2867.647318
2025-08-24 1011.929479 1244.173467 1528.183305 1904.699249 2396.201835 3023.620668 3897.471792
2025-08-31 868.081996 1121.395107 1450.274667 1915.604824 2568.586972 3470.010627 4840.364782
2025-09-07 776.116703 1043.173926 1407.122119 1950.497433 2760.830906 3957.357393 5922.370750
2025-09-14 678.837855 941.173493 1312.607328 1891.510014 2798.589092 4214.686117 6697.283109
2025-09-21 602.545549 857.885211 1231.509142 1836.070182 2825.692247 4449.889645 7472.765133
2025-09-28 537.866699 783.554173 1153.468879 1772.039886 2824.674023 4631.845334 8184.618425
2025-10-05 512.353048 765.023271 1157.386923 1837.516001 3045.689863 5227.330251 9793.079715
2025-10-12 482.785347 736.641171 1141.734119 1866.793473 3205.638974 5737.506464 11354.019066
2025-10-19 455.134635 708.316640 1122.568676 1886.372820 3348.876666 6238.526055 13019.635220
2025-10-26 430.190455 681.898826 1103.461909 1902.774591 3486.978253 6751.966212 14847.515208
2025-11-02 414.105506 668.733178 1105.440707 1957.584390 3708.041559 7479.190997 17396.486930
2025-11-09 395.200129 649.819626 1096.733735 1993.728974 3902.926367 8203.423548 20214.431276
2025-11-16 375.496310 627.895071 1080.615350 2013.782696 4068.399907 8899.936982 23216.911325
2025-11-23 356.714254 605.880931 1061.926716 2025.770315 4217.242513 9588.010909 26450.567539
2025-11-30 342.713672 591.358501 1055.869315 2063.029389 4430.164114 10487.150098 30709.703791
2025-12-07 318.562741 555.938345 1005.980301 2000.004429 4393.493160 10716.006005 32820.727176
2025-12-14 297.049989 523.953215 960.176850 1940.789737 4357.315282 10939.962400 35016.214725
2025-12-21 276.464227 492.332163 912.576478 1872.426943 4288.178857 11057.028377 36874.807092
2025-12-28 271.202096 490.151273 924.753457 1942.333733 4589.597353 12346.846103 44005.684168
2026-01-04 262.556385 480.591929 920.693471 1973.602230 4793.435439 13391.237003 50694.154560
2026-01-11 253.558840 469.655264 912.737181 1994.516422 4972.614194 14406.010125 57856.057389
2026-01-18 244.866600 458.716807 903.829902 2012.038446 5145.645344 15450.352235 65835.381669